England vs. Spain Prediction | EURO 2025 Final (July 27, 2025)
England and Spain meet again, and it’s less than a year after Spain beat them in the World Cup Final.
And this time? It’s for the EURO 2025 title. England’s trying to defend their crown, and it’s against a club that is the reigning World Cup (2023) and Nations League (2024) champions. If Spain wins? It would make them the first team to hold the World Cup, Nations League, and EURO titles simultaneously.
No pressure for England or anything!
The two best women’s teams had to work to get here; England survived a stubborn Italy side that pushed them into extra time. Michelle Agyemang, who’s been one of the breakout players of the tournament, and Chloe Kelly came off the bench and helped get them the win.
Spain didn’t have it any easier; Aitana Bonmatí, the reigning Ballon d’Or winner, finally broke the deadlock in the 113th minute to win the semifinal against Germany and book La Roja’s place in the final.
It’s going down on Sunday, July 27, in Basel, Switzerland, and it’ll be blockbuster soccer (or football).
Keep scrolling to see the match details, head-to-head and tactical stats, current betting odds, and our picks for the best 5 bets!
Match Details
- Matchup:England vs. Spain
- Date & Time: Sunday, July 27 at 12:00 pm ET / 5:00 pm BST / 18:00 CET
- Venue: St. Jakob-Park, Basel, Switzerland
- How To Watch: In the U.S.: FOX and Fox Sports streaming; in the U.K.: BBC One, ITV1, BBC iPlayer, ITVX
Road to the Final
We talked a little about how England and Spain made it to the final, but here is a more detailed look!
The Lionesses (England)
- The Comeback queens in Switzerland: England was trailing Sweden 2–0 in the quarterfinal and rallied to draw 2–2 before winning in penalties.
- Semi‑final vs. Italy: Michelle Agyemang equalized deep in stoppage time, and Chloe Kelly netted the winner in the 119th minute.
- England have now reached three straight major tournament finals under Sarina Wiegman.
La Roja (The Red One, Spain)
- Undefeated run through the Euros; they outplayed opponents in the group and knockout stages with a total of 17 goals scored.
- Solid knockouts: Spain beat Denmark 2–0 in the quarters; edged Germany in the semi, controlled possession, and Bonmatí fired the winner off late in the game.
Head‑to‑Head & Tactical Matchups
What’s the history between these two teams, and which players are going to be battling it out on the pitch?
Last Meeting
- Spain beat England 2–1 in June’s Nations League; Alessia Russo scored first, but Clàudia Pina came on and scored twice to overturn it and get the win in Barcelona.
- Earlier this year, England beat Spain 1–0 at home during another Nations League fixture; Russo again scored the winning goal.
- In the last 14 matches, England have won 7, Spain 4, with 3 draws, and recent meetings have been evenly split.
Player Battles
- Keira Walsh (England) anchors midfield with her precision passing under threat from Spain’s press; opponents usually will man-mark her to disrupt England’s tempo and form.
- Spain’s control lies with Aitana Bonmatí and Alexia Putellas; they orchestrate possession and build-up through midfield rotations, and that makes space for runners like Pina or Paralluelo.
Betting Odds
If you want to bet on the EURO 2025 Final, look below for the latest odds and lines courtesy of ESPN BET:
Moneyline (3-way)
- Spain -130
- Draw +270
- England +340
To Lift the Trophy (anytime)
- Spain –260
- England +180
Over/Under
- Over 2.5 (-120)
- Under 2.5 (-110)
Be sure to review the latest odds before placing your bets—lines often shift closer to kickoff, so staying updated can give you an edge.
Trending Props & Bets
We’ve looked at the sportsbooks and here are the trending props and bets for this matchup!
- Clàudia Pina – First Goalscorer (~6/1): She came off the bench to score a brace against England in the Nations League and has maintained top attacking volume and finishing form this Euros. She’s a live threat who’s priced to deliver.
- Michelle Agyemang – Anytime Goalscorer (~4/1 boost on Midnite): England’s 19-year-old bada** came up clutch against Italy; she scored twice in the knockout rounds. Her market got a boost after her winning strikes in the quarters and semis.
- Builder Option: Spain HT Lead + England Win 90 min (~40/1): This is an underdog-style parlay: Spain lead at the break, but England force a turnaround by full‑time. These are long odds, and it’s risky, but it makes sense if you expect a change in control after halftime.
Our Best Bets
What do we like for the women’s EURO 2025 Final? We’ve got four solid angles and one Lead in for our 5 best bets and an iffy one that’s a longshot but still worth a look!
| Bet | Why Do We Like It? | Our Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|
Spain to Win (90 min) | They’ve controlled possession in every match (66% avg), and England’s midfield has been porous all tournament. | High |
Under 2.5 Goals | Four of the last five major finals (Euros or World Cup) involving these sides went under, and this one profiles similarly. | Medium |
Clàudia Pina to Score First | She leads Spain in total shots per 90, has the freedom to float inside, and scored against England last summer. | Medium |
Spain HT / Draw FT | Spain has led at the break in 4 of 5 matches; England absorbs early pressure and adjusts later, so this works if Spain’s momentum doesn’t last for the entire 90 minutes. | Low–Medium |
Chloe Kelly to Score or Assist | She’s England’s best impact sub who assisted vs Sweden, and scored the winner vs Italy. Spain hasn’t defended wide areas cleanly. | Low |
Team News & X‑Factors
Injuries and lineups will definitely have a say in how this final plays out. England has some hard decisions to make, and Spain will be sticking with what’s worked for them so far.
England
- Lauren James (ankle) missed the second half of the semi-final and is a major doubt for the final. She’s doing light training, but England’s staff is holding off on confirming her status until it gets closer to kick-off. If she’s out? Beth Mead or Chloe Kelly will likely step in.
- Michelle Agyemang has continued her breakthrough run; she’s scored in back-to-back knockout games and adds a lot of energy off the bench. Chloe Kelly also stays in the frame to start, depending on the formation they go with.
Spain
- Spain is at full strength; Aitana Bonmatí is fully fit after a bout of viral meningitis only weeks ago. She’s back to form and is central to Spain’s build-up.
- Alexia Putellas has returned to her lineup role post-ACL recovery and is combining well with Bonmatí and Patri Guijarro in midfield. This trio will anchor Spain’s creativity and pressing.
Main Storylines to Watch
- Can England avoid another slow start? They’ve made a habit out of leaving it until late in games. A slow opening against Spain’s pressing could be too much to recover from in this case.
- Who controls the middle third? England relies on Walsh to set the tempo, but Spain’s trio (Bonmatí, Putellas, Guijarro) will try to suffocate that space early and often.
- Legacy on the line: Spain can become the first nation to hold the World Cup, Nations League, and Euro titles at once. England wants to prove their 2022 win wasn’t just a lucky win.
Prediction Locked: Scoreline, Slips, and Stake Sizing
The 2025 Women’s EURO wraps up with a familiar scene: England vs. Spain, a rematch of the World Cup Final from two summers ago. Spain took that one, and based on how both teams have played in this tournament? Unfortunately for the Lionesses, the Red Ones are in a good position to do it again.
Best Bets Recap
- Spain to win in 90 minutes (High Confidence)
- Under 2.5 Total Goals (Medium)
- Claudia Pina to score first (Medium)
- Spain HT / Draw FT (Low-Medium)
- Chloe Kelly to score or assist (Low)
Risk Factors
England’s set-piece threats and late substitutions can change the game, so Spain has to stay organized the full 90 minutes.
Bankroll Guidance
Stick to 1–3% per play on your main bets, and use smaller stakes on props or long odds unless they’re paired with safer legs!
And before you bet, make sure to confirm the starting lineups, get updates on injury reports, and shop odds across the top online sportsbooks so that you can get the best value.
Final Score Prediction: Spain 2–0 England
Spain will control the tempo and convert their chances, England can’t find a breakthrough, and thus matches up with our Spain ML and Under 2.5 bets!
