Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream Preview & Prediction (July 3, 2025)
The Seattle Storm head to Atlanta for a game against the Dream in a rematch of their low-scoring May matchup; Atlanta won 74–68 on the road.
Seattle shot only 36%, turned the ball over 16 times, and never found a scoring groove. Atlanta’s defense set the tone that night, and they’ve been even tougher to beat at home; they went 6–2 at Gateway Center Arena.
Both are in playoff contention, and a win here gives the Dream the season sweep and improves their playoff seeding in a close Eastern race. The Storm needs this one so that they don’t slip further in the West.
Betting-wise, the market’s pretty even, but there’s more value in how these two match up, particularly on player props.
Keep reading for the game deets, team stats, betting odds, head-to-head comparison, our best bets, and the final score prediction!
Game Details
- Matchup: Seattle Storm (10–7, 4–4 on the road) at Atlanta Dream (11–6, 7–2 at home)
- Date & Time: Thursday, July 3, at 7:30 p.m. Eastern Time
- Location: Gateway Center Arena, College Park, GA
- How To Watch: GPB Atlanta affiliates; Peachtree Sports Network or WPCH-TV; WNBA League Pass
Team Form & Momentum
Okay, so both teams are above .500, but Atlanta’s most recent numbers give them a slight advantage over Seattle in important areas:
Atlanta Dream (11‑6, 8‑4 East)
- 3rd in WNBA in scoring: 84.4 PPG
- +5.9 point differential
- +3.7 rebounding edge per game
- 9.6 threes per game on 32.5% shooting
Seattle Storm (10‑7, 8‑5 West)
- 82.6 PPG, 6th in the league
- +2.8 point differential
- Just 31.4 RPG (ranked 12th)
- Heavily reliant on perimeter scoring to stay in games
Head‑to‑Head & Trends
Atlanta took the first meeting and has won two of the last three against Seattle.
Season Series
- Atlanta leads 1–0 after a 94–87 road win on May 30
- Seattle gave up 50% shooting and trailed nearly the entire second half
Last Five Matchups
They’ve played each other five times since 2023 and both have two wins each across the last four.
- Seattle: Aug 2024 (85–81), July 2024 (81–70)
- Atlanta: May 2025 (94–87), Aug 2024 (83–81)
ATS & O/U Trends
- Atlanta: 10–7 ATS, 9–7–1 to the over
- Seattle: 9–8 ATS, 10–7 to the over
Advanced Metrics
- Offensive Rating: Dream 3rd, Storm 6th
- Defensive Rating: Dream 5th, Storm 7th
- Pace: Atlanta ranks 12th (slow), Seattle 7th (moderate)
The Players to Watch
Who should you keep your eyes on during this one? The following six players:
| Player | Details |
|---|---|
Allisha Gray (ATL) |
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Rhyne Howard (ATL) |
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Brionna Jones (ATL) |
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Skylar Diggins-Smith (SEA) |
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Betting Odds
Betting on this matchup? Here are the latest odds and lines via BetMGM:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total Runs |
|---|---|---|---|
Storm | +1.5 (-120) | -110 | Over 161.5 (-110) |
Dream | -1.5 (+100) | -110 | Under 161.5 (-110) |
Best Bets
The numbers are really tight for this one, so we are concentrating on a moneyline, a volume scorer, and a total that are backed up by trends for our three best bets.
1. Atlanta Dream ML (-110)
Our Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Why do we like it?
- Atlanta already beat Seattle 94–87 in Seattle
- Now they get them at home, where they’re 7–2
- Dream ranks top-three in scoring and controls the glass (+3.7 rebounding margin)
- Seattle ranks last in rebounds per game (31.4)
- Parker and Hillmon combined for 17 boards last time, and this matchup plays right into Atlanta’s strength
- Simulations have Atlanta closer to –135 implied odds
2. Allisha Gray Over 18.5 Points
Our Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐
Why do we like it?
- She’s averaging 19.5 PPG on the year
- Had 21 in the first game vs. Seattle, including 9 in the fourth
- Seattle’s allowed 20+ to Ogunbowale, Loyd, and Kelsey Mitchell in the last 10 games
- Gray gets volume late in games, especially when it’s a close one
- This number hasn’t moved yet, but it should
3. Game Total Over 161.5
Our Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐
Why do we like it?
- Their last game hit 181
- Seattle is 10–7 to the over, Atlanta 9–7–1
- Both teams rank in the top six in offensive rating
- The pace won’t be fast, but efficiency on first looks pushes this total up
- Expect both teams to clear 80 unless fouls slow the game down
Storm or Dream? Here’s Our Pick
Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Dream 88, Seattle Storm 82
Atlanta beat Seattle on the road in May, and now they’ve got them at home, where they’re 7–2 and winning the rebounding battle nearly every night. The Dream ranks in the top three in scoring and has obvious matchups to exploit inside.
Seattle ranks dead last in rebounding, hasn’t won a road game in two weeks, and gave up 94 to Atlanta already. The interior disadvantage doesn’t look like it’s been addressed, so it hasn’t been fixed.
We are backing Atlanta all the way.
Best Bets Recap
- Atlanta ML (–110): ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️Home court edge, better rebounding, won first matchup in Seattle
- Allisha Gray Over 18.5 Points: ⭐️⭐️⭐️Averaging 19.5 PPG, scored 21 vs. Seattle, high usage late
- Over 161.5 Total Points: ⭐️⭐️⭐️The last game hit 181, both teams top-six in offense, strong over trends
Don’t forget to watch for any injury reports and late line movement, especially for Allisha Gray! You can also think about doing some live betting if the Dream starts out slow. And above all, always bet responsibly!
