Dallas Stars vs. Edmonton Oilers Game 4 Preview & Prediction (May 27, 2025)
Dallas was out of it by the end of the second period. Edmonton slotted four goals past Jake Oettinger in four goals during the first 40 minutes of Game 3, getting a 6-1 win and taking a 2-1 lead in the series.
McDavid and Hyman scored two goals each, and the Oilers looked like they had total control from the opening shift. The Stars just couldn’t get a handle on the pace or the pressure, and now? They’re facing a must-win sitch in Game 4 so they don’t go back to Dallas in a hole.
Game Details
- Matchup: Dallas Stars vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Series Status: EDM 2-1
- Date & Time: Sunday, May 27 at 8:00 pm ET
- Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta
- Broadcast: ABC / ESPN+
Prediction Breakdown
44.9%
55.1%
According to GamblingSite.com
Series Recap
Here’s how it’s played out on the ice so far:
- Game 1: Stars 6, Oilers 3 – Dallas scored three in the opening period and never gave up the lead. Oettinger was super steady in the net, and the Stars got production from up and down the lineup.
- Game 2: Oilers 3, Stars 0 – Edmonton played a much more disciplined game and limited Dallas’ chances. Skinner stopped all 27 shots, and McDavid opened the scoring on the power play.
- Game 3: Oilers 6, Stars 1 – The Oilers built a 4-0 lead during the first two periods, and that was it. McDavid and Hyman both sank two goals, and Edmonton dictated the majority of the play in all three zones.
Biggest Storylines
- Dallas’ Road Woes: The Stars have not played well when they’re not at home during the postseason. Game 3 followed that same pattern; there were bad decisions under pressure, defensive breakdowns, and it didn’t look like there was a sense of urgency once they were behind.
- McDavid and Hyman’s Surge: Both scored twice in Game 3 and stayed active in all three zones. They’re generating chances off the rush, winning battles along the boards, and finishing at a high rate. Dallas hasn’t been able to contain this duo.
- Goaltending Battle: Oettinger gave up six goals and looked off from the start—slow reads, poor rebound control, and didn’t get a lot of support in front. Skinner didn’t face much traffic, but he handled what came his way. Edmonton’s getting the stronger play in net right now.
Injury Updates
There’s not much movement on the injury front, but Dallas is still missing an important player down the middle!
| Team | Details |
|---|---|
Dallas Stars | Roope Hintz is still listed as day-to-day after exiting Game 2 with a lower-body injury. He hasn’t returned to practice and as of now, isn’t expected to be in the lineup for Game 4. |
Edmonton Oilers | No injury concerns going into Game 4. The Oilers are likely to stick with the same squad from Game 3. |
Betting Odds and Trends
What are the odds as of now? Here’s the latest courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Stars | +1.5 (-180) | +140 | Over 6.5 (+102) |
Oilers | -1.5 (+150) | -166 | Under 6.5 (-122) |
Best Bets
Edmonton scored six in Game 3, and Dallas gave up four before the third period started. Game 4 has all the hallmarks of another wide-open night, and here are what we think are the best bets!
- Over 6.5 Goals (-110) – Dallas really has to press if they fall behind again, and that opens the door for breakdowns both ways. The Oilers have hit this number themselves in back-to-back home games.
- Connor McDavid Anytime Goal (+120) – He scored twice in Game 3 and had five shots on goal. He’s driving the offense right now and playing heavy minutes in all situations.
- Oilers -1.5 (+155) – They led 4-0 through two periods in Game 3 and kept applying pressure. If Dallas starts out slow again, Edmonton is in a really strong spot to cover the puck line.
Final Thoughts & Game 4 Prediction
Our Final Score Prediction: Oilers 5, Stars 2
Edmonton put two on the board before the first TV timeout in Game 3 and never stopped. They outshot Dallas 13–5 in the first period, built a 4-0 lead by the end of the second, and closed out a 6-1 win without a lot of pushback. McDavid and Hyman both scored twice, Skinner faced only 23 shots, and the Oilers carried speed through the neutral zone without much resistance. Dallas looked really overwhelmed trying to recover puck losses and had trouble matching Edmonton’s pace in transition.
If the Stars fall behind again in the opening 10? It could be a repeat of Game 3. They’ve looked kinda flat in most of their road starts this postseason, and with Hintz still likely to be out, the pressure is on Seguin, Johnston, and Marchment to generate offense. Oettinger also needs a stronger showing; his reads were off in Game 3, and he gave up way too many second looks around the crease.
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