Charles Schwab Challenge 2025 Picks & Best Bets
Is Scheffler stoppable? We don’t know, but Scottie Scheffler is heading to Colonial Country Club fresh off wins at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson, and the PGA Championship. He’s been the most reliable player on Tour this season as the world No. 1 and a Dallas native, and Scheffler is the clear favorite at +225 to claim his third consecutive win. The 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge tees off on May 22 and runs until May 25 at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas.
Who are the other golfers? And do any of them have a shot at beating Scheffler? Let’s find out!
Course Snapshot: Colonial Country Club
What’s the green like at Colonial Country Club? It rewards the players who stay in control off the tee and know how to work their way around trouble. At 7,289 yards and playing to a par 70, the layout takes accuracy first and power second. Bentgrass greens and super tight landing areas only add to the challenge course, and solid ball-strikers get punished for the smallest errors.
Nicknamed “Hogan’s Alley” in honor of Ben Hogan’s legacy here, the course has a long history of favoring smart shot selection. Winning scores usually land somewhere between -8 and -15, which is low enough to reward good play, but still not easy to reach.
Top Contenders & Outright Picks
There are a handful of familiar names at the top of the BetMGM odds (as of May 21) board going into the tourney. Below are the current top contenders and outright picks.
Scottie Scheffler (+225)
Scheffler hits the course on a strong run and looks completely in sync with his golf game. He’s played Colonial lots of times, and his steady play from tee to green gives him an advantage that’s really hard to match. No surprise he’s at the top of the board.
Jordan Spieth (+2500)
Few players are as comfortable at Colonial as Spieth. He won here in 2016 and has turned in multiple top finishes over the years. He hasn’t been as consistent lately, but this setup always seems to bring out the best in him.
Daniel Berger (+2500)
Berger’s been trending in the right direction. He won this event back in 2020 and usually handles courses where it pays to be accurate and patient. If his iron game is good? He’s a serious threat to contend again.
Best Value & Each-Way Bets
All of the golfers at Colonial aren’t household names, but that doesn’t mean they don’t have a chance. The following are the players that are flying under the radar but have the skill set and course history to surprise people!
- Harris English +4000 – English is coming off a strong showing at the PGA Championship and has been striking it well. He’s accurate off the tee, can scramble when needed, and tends to stick around when conditions get tough.
- J.T. Poston +4000 – Poston’s game fits this particular course—solid approach play, good touch around the greens, and the patience to wait for scoring chances. He’s shown promise this season and looks due for a full weekend push.
- Davis Riley +5000 – Last year’s winner knows this course like the back of his hand and plays more confidently on familiar greens. If he gets off to a good start, he’s more than capable of putting together another strong showing at Colonial.
Longshots to Watch
Hogan’s Alley is an interesting course, which means that when this tournament comes around, a few players who have triple-digit odds hang around the top of the board longer than anyone expected them to. Below are three golfers who could do it:
- Ryan Gerard +7500 – Gerard has made a name for himself this season in Texas events with great ball striking and a calm approach under pressure. His accuracy off the tee gives him a real chance to post a number here.
- Eric Cole +9000 – Cole doesn’t get a lot of attention, but he’s been steady week after week. He put together a strong spring and has the kind of short game that keeps him competitive, even when it gets close.
- Tom Hoge +12500 – Hoge has never been afraid to fire at pins, and if he gets hot with his irons, he’s definitely capable of making a move. He’s the definition of a boom-or-bust option, but at this number? He’s worth a look.
Prop Bets & Specials
If you want to look outside the outright odds board, there’s some solid value in the prop market! Here are the prop bets and specials to think about if you’re targeting fast starters or proven finishers.
First-Round Leader: Alejandro Tosti (+10000)
Tosti has shown he can come out swinging (literally). He’s really aggressive off the tee, doesn’t hesitate with his approach game, and has led early in a few recent starts. At this price, he’s worth a small play to open strong.
Top-5 Finish: Daniel Berger (+400)
Berger knows this course and already has a win here. His recent form has been trending upward, and a top-five finish feels realistic if he keeps it clean over the weekend.
Best Plays for the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge
You don’t have to go all-in on a favorite or chase the longest odds on the board! The Colonial golf course usually works out best for the golfers who know when to take chances and when to back off. If you’re building a card this week, look for the duffers who are able to handle four rounds and not get in their own way.
Scheffler’s the clear favorite, but there’s still plenty to like further down the board—especially with guys who’ve played well here before or are. Mixing in each-way bets and a few props can give you more than enough ways to stay in it through the weekend!
Top Outright Pick
- Scottie Scheffler +225: He’s playing better than anyone right now and knows this course inside out. If he’s anywhere near the lead heading into the weekend, it’s going to be really hard to catch up to him.
Top Value Bet
- Jordan Spieth +2500: His recent form has been kinda up and down, but Colonial always seems to bring out his best. He’s won here before and knows how to score on this course.
Best Each-Way/Longshot
- Davis Riley +5000: Last year’s winner hasn’t done anything spectacularly lately, but coming back to a course where he’s already hoisted the trophy could be what puts a fire under his butt.
Prop to Consider
- Alejandro Tosti First-Round Leader +10000: He’s aggressive early and isn’t shy about going flag-hunting. If you’re looking for a longshot to pop, Tosti is definitely worth a look.
Don’t overthink it! Pick one top-tier player, someone who is sitting in that 30–50/1 range, and a longshot who fits the course. This will give you enough coverage across the board and without needing everything to go right.
If you want to bet on the Charles Schwab Challenge, check out our picks for the Best Betting Sites!
