Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars Game 4 Predictions (May 13, 2025)
Dallas certainly didn’t squander their chance at home. After they split the first two games in Winnipeg, the Stars came out strong in Game 3—they followed through with plays, crashed the net, and pushed the pace. They’re now ahead in the series 2–1, and they’ve got a real shot to put some pressure on the Jets going into Game 5.
Winnipeg’s defensive structure broke down late in the game, and Connor Hellebuyck didn’t have much support in front of him. If they don’t want to go back home being down 3–1, they have to get back to their defensive identity and test Jake Oettinger, especially in their own zone.
Quick Take
- The Stars now lead the series 2–1 after a 5–2 win in Game 3.
- Dallas looked more in sync in transition and kept the pressure on around the crease.
- Winnipeg gave up too many clean looks and couldn’t create much 5-on-5 offense.
- Game 4 stays in Dallas, where the Stars have been solid all season.
- The Jets need much better coverage in front of Hellebuyck to get this back to 2–2.
Prediction Breakdown
48.2%
51.8%
According to GamblingSite.com
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Winnipeg Jets @ Dallas Stars
- Series Status: Stars lead 2-1
- Date & Time: Tuesday, May 13, at 8:00 pm ET
- Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
- Broadcast: ESPN, SN, TVAS
Betting Odds
The Stars are favored going into Game four—here are the odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, which are similar to the previous matchups:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Jets | +1.5 (-210) | +126 | Over 5.5 (-128) |
Stars | -1.5 (+168) | -152 | Under 5.5 (+104) |
Betting Lines (as of May 12)
- Moneyline – Winnipeg Jets +125 | Dallas Stars -145
- Puck Line – Jets +1.5 (-215) | Stars -1.5 (+170)
- Total Goals (Over/Under 5.5) – Over -125 | Under: +105
FYI: Odds can and do change before the puck drops, so always check with your preferred sportsbook to get the latest lines!
Game Breakdown
Game 3 gave us a better picture of what both teams are working with at the moment. Dallas looked more organized and aggressive in the offensive zone, and Winnipeg had a tough time keeping up, particularly late in the game. Below is how both teams look going into Game 4.
Dallas Stars
Dallas came roaring back with a statement game. After a split in Winnipeg, the Stars used their speed and depth to break things wide open in Game 3, and the crowd was feeling it.
- They won Game 3 with a score of 5–2. Mikko Rantanen was out in front with a goal and two assists.
- The Stars are really tough when they’re on home ice, finishing 28–10–3 in Dallas during the regular season.
- Rantanen, Alexander Petrovic, and Jake Oettinger continue to drive the plays on both ends of the ice.
Winnipeg Jets
The Jets have to regroup, and they have to do it yesterday. Game 3 exposed some of their defensive lapses, and they didn’t create enough pressure in the offensive zone to stay in it.
- Winnipeg gave up five goals in Game 3, and Connor Hellebuyck didn’t get much help clearing rebounds or covering open lanes.
- They’ve had trouble away from home and need a stronger effort to avoid going down 3–1 in the series.
- Key players to watch are Hellebuyck, Nikolaj Ehlers, and Mark Scheifele, who have to make something happen offensively.
Best Bets
Dallas is out in front at 2–1, and Game 4 is on their home ice, so the Stars are in a good position. But underestimating Winnipeg’s resilience would be a mistake. The following are the best bets that are worth your consideration:
- Stars Moneyline (-150) – Dallas is formidable when they’re at home, and their recent performance suggests that they have the upper hand.
- Under 5.5 Total Goals (-110) – Both teams have more than shown that their defensive play is strong, and because the stakes are so high, a lower-scoring game is a plausible outcome.
- Mikko Rantanen Anytime Goal (+150) – Rantanen is always an offensive threat, and that makes him a solid pick to locate the net.
Promising Prop Bets
When we take a look at the individual performances and period trends, below are some decent prop bets to think about for Game 4:
- Connor Hellebuyck Over 22.5 Saves (-115) – Hellebuyck has faced an average of 23.72 shots per game this season, and the Stars’ offensive pressure, expecting over 22.5 saves, is reasonable.
- First Period Under 1.5 Goals (+120) – Both have been known to start out cautiously in previous games, which makes a low-scoring first period really likely.
- Nikolaj Ehlers Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-135) -Ehlers has been really active offensively, as he’s averaging over 4 shots per game in the postseason, which says he’s likely to surpass this mark.
Ice Cold Take: Our Game 4 Prediction
Our Final Prediction: Stars 3, Jets 2 (Regulation)
Dallas is coming off its strongest performance yet in this series, and it looks like they were much more at home on home ice. The Stars are getting a lot more from their supporting cast, and Oettinger keeps bringing his net game. The Jets can absolutely hang in this game, but unless they get less sloppy in their own zone and solve the coverage issues they have at 5-on-5, they’ll be heading home down 3–1.
Best Bet Recap
- Stars Moneyline (-150)
- Under 5.5 Total Goals (-110)
- Mikko Rantanen Anytime Goal (+150)
Don’t forget to bet responsibly, and you can check our top online sportsbooks for the most current offers! And all odds can change, so check the latest lines before you put money on Game 4!
