Golden Knights vs. Oilers Game 4 Preview & Prediction (May 12, 2025)
It’s getting real going into Game 4 of the Golden Knights vs. the Oilers. Game 3 came with the drama. There were penalties for interference, slashing, and a 4-3 win for Vegas, thanks to Reilly Smith’s buzzer-beater goal. And just like that? Vegas is back in it.
After losing the first two at home, the Golden Knights silenced Rogers Place. Edmonton is still in the lead, but things just got closer. The Oilers had their six-game playoff winning streak snapped like a broken stick, and in Game 4, they’ll try to reassert control on home ice.
Game Details
If you’re betting, watching, or both, here’s what and where it’s going down:
- Matchup: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Series Status: Oilers lead 2-1
- Date & Time: Monday, May 12, at 9:30 pm ET
- Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
- Broadcast: TNT, truTV, Max
Why This Game Matters
A win for Vegas means that there’s a 2–2 deadlock heading back to the desert. A win for Edmonton puts them only one away from advancing. Control of this round is up for grabs with Game 4. A 3–1 lead would put the Oilers in a nice spot, but if Vegas gets it, the series resets, and the Knights are on the cusp of getting the lead back.
Both teams know the stakes, and the intensity will definitely be seen on the ice.
Team Breakdown
Vegas showed a ton of resilience in Game 3–they overcame a two-goal deficit to get a last-second win. Reilly Smith led the charge with two goals, including the game-winner.
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas needed a win, and they got it. Game 3 had every reason to slip away after they were behind 2–0, but the Golden Knights chipped away and finished it with 0.4 seconds left on the clock.
- Recent Performance: A comeback win on the road keeps them in the series after losing the first two games.
Key Players
- Reilly Smith: Scored twice in Game 3, including the winner.
- Jack Eichel: Continues to lead the team in playoff scoring and play-driving.
Injuries
- Mark Stone (upper body): Left Game 3 and is listed as being day-to-day.
- Brandon Saad: Still out with a lower-body injury. His status as of now is questionable.
Edmonton Oilers
The Oilers looked unstoppable until the Game 3 collapse—they had won six straight in the playoffs and looked ready to breeze through to Round 2. But they lost control late in the game on Friday night, and now their backs are against the wall.
- Recent Performance: Lost Game 3 after being ahead by two goals. It was their first playoff loss since the opening round.
Key Players
- Connor McDavid: Connor had yet another multipoint night. He’s more than pulling his weight.
- Leon Draisaitl: Leon is still one of the most lethal finishers on the ice.
Goaltending Update
- Stuart Skinner: He’s back in the net for Game 3. He made 20 saves but looked kinda shaky late in the game, but he’s expected to start again in Game 4.
Head-to-Head Comparison
What do these teams look like when we put them in a head-to-head comparison? Check out the table below!
| Category | Golden Knights | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
Regular Season Record | 50-22-10 | 48-29-5 |
Goals Per Game | 3.34 | 3.16 |
Goals Against Per Game | 2.61 | 2.87 |
Power Play % | 28.3% | 23.7% |
Penalty Kill % | 75.7% | 78.2% |
Betting Odds & Trends
If you’re betting on Game 4, here’s what the current odds are on ESPN BET sportsbook, plus some recent betting trends!
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
Vegas | +1.5 (-225) | +110 | Over 6.5 (-135) |
Edmonton | -1.5 (+175) | -130 | Under 6.5 (+115) |
Betting Lines (as of May 11)
- Moneyline: Oilers -130 | Golden Knights +110
- Puck Line: Oilers -1.5 (+170) | Knights +1.5 (-215)
- Over/Under: 6.5 goals (Over -140, Under +120)
Betting Trends
- Edmonton is 6-1 in its last 7 playoff games.
- Vegas is 4-2 in its last 6 and just nabbed its first road win of the series.
Best Bets
There are three good angles that are worth watching if you’re putting some cash down on Game 4:
- Over 6.5 Goals (-140) – Both teams are firing. Game 1 hit 9 goals, Game 3 had 7, and the scoring depth is showing up on both ends. Defense isn’t dictating this series—finishing is.
- Golden Knights +1.5 (-215) – It’s been close every time out. Vegas has found ways to hang around and cash in late. Even if they don’t win, covering looks like a strong bet.
- Anytime Goal Scorer: Reilly Smith – He’s in the zone. He scored two goals in the last game, and he’s been the most dangerous winger on the ice for Vegas. If the Oilers don’t adjust to him, he’s gonna get a whole lot of scoring chances.
Final Thoughts: Who Will Grab Power in Game 4?
Our Prediction
The Oilers win it 4-3 in OT, but we’re leaning Over 6.5 as being the best bet—this series doesn’t do low-scoring games.
For real-time updates and more betting insights, follow along during the game!
Vegas won Game 3 with under a second left and skated off the ice like they’d been planning it all along. Eichel’s pushing the pace. Reilly Smith’s note fire. And if Mark Stone finds his way back into the lineup? The series is going back to Nevada with enough heat to melt the ice.
The Oilers have firepower, but none of that matters if they can’t get off the shots. McDavid and Draisaitl can only do so much if Skinner keeps giving up goals in crunch time. And if they blow another third-period lead? Yikes.
Game 4’s going to be nasty for sure—hits, chirps, and probably a goal or two that doesn’t make sense to non-hockey players. But you know what? That’s the best kind of playoff hockey.
