UFC 315 Betting Odds & Predictions – Our Best Bets
The Octagon will be erected in Montreal for UFC 315, and you know what that means—two men enter, one man leave.
Ok, that’s the Thunderdome from Mad Max, but with how vicious MMA fights are? It’s not like someone couldn’t die. We hope not, but yikes, it looks brutal.
Anyway, the cage is calling, the card is stacked with killers, and it will be mayhem. Canada is the stage for the night, and we’ll be watching and betting on who wins what because the event has a ton of value.
There are two belts on the line, legends throwing down, and lots of spots to cash in. If you’re after a longshot or riding the chalk, we have some predictions with our picks, everything about the matchups, the odds, and the betting angles that will hurt less than a fish hook or an eye gouge (both fouls).
UFC 315 Event Overview
Before you put anything on the board, let’s lay out what’s happening on the night! Who’s fighting, when and where to watch, and what you need to know before you bet.
UFC 315 lands at the Bell Centre in Montreal on May 10, and the card looks intense. Title fights, fan favorites, and breakout brawlers are all locked in for a wild night. Below is the schedule:
- Date: May 10, 2025
- Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Canada
- Main Card Start Time: 10:00 pm ET
- Broadcast: Pay-Per-View (PPV)
- Prelims: ESPN/ESPN+/Disney+ at 8:00 pm ET
- Early Prelims: ESPN+/Disney+ at 6:30 pm ET
- See the full UFC 315 card
Full Fight Card & Betting Odds
Okay, here’s the lineup. The main card’s got a couple of belts that are up for grabs, a fan fav making his long-awaited return, and some matchups that could change the rankings. It’s the kind of card that builds slowly, and by the second fight? There’ll be head kicks and liver shots by the second fight.
Main Card
This main card doesn’t waste any time. You’ve got belts on the line, Aldo back in action, and matchups that could get ugly. All of the names below have something to prove—or lose. Here are the odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook:
- Welterweight Title Fight – Belal Muhammad (c) (-278) vs. Jack Della Maddalena (+215)
- Women’s Flyweight Title Fight – Manon Fiorot (-127) vs. Valentina Shevchenko (c) (+104)
- Bantamweight Bout – José Aldo (-220) vs. Aiemann Zahabi (+175)
- Women’s Flyweight Bout – Natália Silva (-182) vs. Alexa Grasso (+148)
- Lightweight Bout – Joel Alvarez (-175) vs. Benoit Saint Denis (+140)
Preliminary Card
You should not sleep on the early fights! This is where underdogs can make you some cash, and prospects make their mark. If you’re looking for lots of action and extra value, it’s here.
- Welterweight Bout: Mike Malott (-230) vs. Charles Radtke (+180)
- Light Heavyweight Bout: Modestas Bukauskas (-110) vs. Ion Cuțelaba (-110)
- Women’s Flyweight Bout: Jasmine Jasudavicius (-305) vs. Jessica Andrade (+240)
- Light Heavyweight Bout: Navajo Stirling (-278) vs. Ivan Erslan (+215)
- Middleweight Bout: Marc-Andre Barriault (-157) vs. Bruno Silva (+125)
- Bantamweight Bout: Bekzat Almakhan (-180) vs. Brad Katona (+143)
UFC 315 Main Event Breakdown
We’ve got the welterweight strap at stake, and it’ll be a battle of different fighting styles. Cardio machine vs. knockout artist. How do these two warriors compare? Look below!
Belal Muhammad (c) vs. Jack Della Maddalena
| Muhammad | Della Maddalena | |
|---|---|---|
Odds | -278 | +215 |
Stats | 24-3-0, top-tier cardio, high-pressure wrestling | 17-2-0, clinical boxing, clean finishes |
Momentum Check | Belal’s been steamrolling guys with pace and persistence, and he’s hard to look good against. | Jack’s racked up 17 straight wins and he choked out Craig freakin’ Jones in training camp. If you know who Jones is, that’s straight up savage. |
Our Prediction
Public & Line Movement: Public money has been trickling toward Belal, but there are sharp bettors that are circling Jack’s underdog line.
If Jack can stuff the takedowns and force a phone booth fight, this could be his moment, but we are picking Della Maddalena for the upset. Maddalena is dangerous here. If he keeps it standing and finds his range early on, he’s got the hands to come out on top. Lock him in as a live dog!
Co-Main Event & Key Fights Analysis
The co-main and featured bouts are where things get out of hand. There are veterans, title contenders, and there will be upsets. You know what that means? Props and live betting windows galore. Let’s break ’em all down!
Manon Fiorot vs. Valentina Shevchenko
This will be a sniper duel between two of the sharpest strikers in the division. Fiorot is icy and calculated; Shevchenko’s got championship pedigree and enough tape to fill a library.
- Odds: Fiorot (-127), Shevchenko (+104)
- Lean: The fight goes to the scorecards. Both women are durable, smart, and not prone to taking any unnecessary risks.
José Aldo vs. Aiemann Zahabi
Aldo’s back! The King of Rio steps in with more Octagon time than Zahabi has in pro minutes. Zahabi’s dangerous, but he hasn’t been in with someone who’s fought the best of the best for over a decade.
- Odds: Aldo (-220), Zahabi (+175)
- Lean: Aldo inside the distance if he turns up the heat, but the safe play is Aldo straight.
Our UFC 315 Best Bets
And now for the picks that will actually put money in your pocket. We aren’t guessing—we’re factoring in line value, fight style matchups, and recent form. Here are the four plays we’re rolling with based on tape, stats, and where the value lives.
Jack Della Maddalena (+215) to Win
- Why: He’s got one-punch precision and showed some serious grappling chops in training camp.
- Risk: Belal has the motor to grind it out, but Jack’s got finishing power and can stay calm under pressure.
- Pick: Della Maddalena moneyline
Fiorot vs. Shevchenko – Fight Goes the Distance
- Why: Neither fighter is reckless; both are super technical and tough as nails.
- Pick: Fight goes to decision (odds TBD)
José Aldo (-220) to Win
- Why: Too much experience, too much class. Zahabi’s solid, but this is a mismatch on paper.
- Pick: Aldo straight up
Grasso vs. Silva – Over 2.5 Rounds
- Why: They’re both patient and durable. Expect a chess match, not a firefight.
- Pick: Over 2.5 (odds TBD)
Looking for a sportsbook to place your bets? Check out our list of the top-rated UFC betting apps for promos, fast payouts, and rock-solid lines.
UFC 315 Betting Tips for Beginners
If you’re new to betting on MMA, read on to find out how to dodge rookie mistakes and make the smartest bets!
- Don’t just go with your favorite fighter—study styles and matchups.
- “Method of Victory” props usually pay out better than moneylines do.
- Underdogs hit all the time in MMA. If the style matchup looks good, don’t be afraid to fire.
- Think about round props. If someone’s a fast starter, Round 1 KO might pay off big.
Final Prediction & Takeaways
UFC 315 will come with full-throttle violence and legit betting spots across the board. It’s lined with fights that could go in a few different directions—titles on the line, vets back in the cage, and matchups that are way closer than the current odds.
- Top Pick: Jack Della Maddalena at +215. If he stays off his back and keeps upright, he’s got the brawn to pull this off.
- Also Worth a Look: Shevchenko vs. Fiorot to go the distance. Both are calculated, patient, and tough to finish.
Watch the weigh-ins, be flexible with your picks, and don’t chase after every underdog. Bet smart, stick to the spots where the numbers add up, and brace yourself for the madness that will ensue once that cage door slams shut.
For more information about the entire night, be sure to check out the official UFC 315 website.
